Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 50.950499 58.517934 66.311138 74.900760 84.068248 93.527981 103.995780
2026-01-25 39.747389 50.505471 62.153127 75.550789 90.397203 106.221990 124.246240
2026-02-01 32.308993 44.600242 58.443331 74.875122 93.566602 113.923472 137.540091
2026-02-08 26.987974 40.300799 55.846539 74.809906 96.855064 121.282323 150.029693
2026-02-15 22.343869 36.185704 52.943345 73.921059 98.796301 126.783631 160.130501
2026-02-22 19.450454 33.883437 51.914652 74.977265 102.763630 134.402107 172.458493
2026-03-01 17.166962 32.094242 51.302113 76.350671 106.953539 142.157849 184.843527
2026-03-08 14.288077 29.157796 48.982322 75.417635 108.221509 146.382901 193.054283
2026-03-15 11.581093 26.124676 46.286149 73.806102 108.500164 149.312185 199.647306
2026-03-22 10.831063 25.919340 47.306882 76.876690 114.471634 158.955754 214.060389
2026-03-29 9.705701 24.991303 47.248807 78.485980 118.588401 166.355545 225.818682
2026-04-05 8.073555 23.027157 45.604182 77.910737 119.899031 170.328158 233.487025
2026-04-12 6.645444 21.219957 44.083316 77.447042 121.336990 174.473961 241.411509
2026-04-19 5.619691 19.975985 43.293775 77.904992 123.905574 179.971816 250.939141
2026-04-26 4.490311 18.321190 41.761804 77.254612 124.982333 183.592929 258.178141
2026-05-03 3.632512 17.037647 40.699271 77.181599 126.752730 188.029241 266.368775
2026-05-10 2.760504 15.496086 39.107924 76.278543 127.376569 191.001272 272.755543
2026-05-17 2.313844 14.857095 38.928105 77.352841 130.579340 197.166521 283.005541
2026-05-24 1.966293 14.386083 38.988589 78.749921 134.195794 203.841883 293.874973
2026-05-31 1.392287 13.055973 37.487888 77.800843 134.634735 206.497463 299.815114
2026-06-07 0.872678 11.570951 35.581763 76.161402 134.080238 207.852830 304.124959
2026-06-14 0.832750 11.834774 36.842223 79.284935 139.992080 217.413238 318.531737
2026-06-21 0.683069 11.582855 37.129208 80.921593 143.872984 224.391728 329.762179